Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.067174 0.074252 0.082001 0.091156 0.101732 0.113629 0.128121
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.055552 0.064946 0.076049 0.090308 0.108381 0.130871 0.161537
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.048482 0.059187 0.072628 0.091106 0.116452 0.150955 0.203264
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.043459 0.054924 0.070041 0.092043 0.124364 0.172073 0.252061
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.039581 0.051469 0.067795 0.092747 0.131679 0.193560 0.307805
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.036272 0.048291 0.065369 0.092582 0.137351 0.213445 0.367365
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.033303 0.045211 0.062622 0.091367 0.140886 0.230270 0.427183
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.031532 0.043655 0.061900 0.093147 0.149658 0.258547 0.522788
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.029311 0.041191 0.059471 0.091686 0.152243 0.275318 0.599628
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.027859 0.039762 0.058508 0.092558 0.159292 0.303174 0.720120
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.026295 0.038016 0.056836 0.091907 0.163157 0.325003 0.836948
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.025214 0.036948 0.056177 0.093003 0.170794 0.358058 1.013911
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.024185 0.035905 0.055496 0.094040 0.178708 0.395087 1.241197
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.023026 0.034561 0.054171 0.093652 0.183388 0.425319 1.474512
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.022181 0.033685 0.053597 0.094701 0.191704 0.469520 1.832354
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.021411 0.032879 0.053073 0.095779 0.200349 0.518683 2.300457
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.020666 0.032061 0.052451 0.096558 0.208429 0.569972 2.891772
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.019866 0.031093 0.051460 0.096401 0.213992 0.615248 3.558242
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.019000 0.029952 0.050049 0.095124 0.216197 0.649080 4.232081
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.018549 0.029535 0.050012 0.097006 0.228009 0.729354 5.741317
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.017768 0.028464 0.048597 0.095465 0.229218 0.764135 6.862666
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.017290 0.027929 0.048219 0.096386 0.238386 0.842898 9.266812
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.016686 0.027125 0.047234 0.095699 0.242255 0.898247 11.788339